Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.111760 1.263463 1.428774 1.622374 1.843009 2.086767 2.376702
2025-12-21 0.859564 1.061203 1.300076 1.604311 1.982108 2.436657 3.026359
2025-12-28 0.747086 0.976968 1.265602 1.655418 2.169531 2.826356 3.732443
2026-01-04 0.640966 0.878126 1.190250 1.632368 2.244772 3.066486 4.258550
2026-01-11 0.581550 0.829617 1.169744 1.671984 2.398154 3.415293 4.957609
2026-01-18 0.523758 0.774487 1.131006 1.677312 2.498013 3.692577 5.577208
2026-01-25 0.468541 0.715712 1.078943 1.654560 2.549908 3.899514 6.107248
2026-02-01 0.418341 0.658374 1.021956 1.616238 2.570755 4.056791 6.570544
2026-02-08 0.375893 0.608219 0.970190 1.579172 2.587070 4.204379 7.027534
2026-02-15 0.350073 0.581627 0.952231 1.593182 2.684868 4.488125 7.732304
2026-02-22 0.323196 0.550486 0.923579 1.585822 2.744704 4.712045 8.353902
2026-03-01 0.297354 0.518520 0.890355 1.566826 2.781399 4.897601 8.922947
2026-03-08 0.266430 0.477401 0.842054 1.524676 2.787374 5.054917 9.506801
2026-03-15 0.242297 0.446325 0.809056 1.508132 2.841208 5.310230 10.317350
2026-03-22 0.230315 0.435837 0.811400 1.556087 3.019038 5.811856 11.658732
2026-03-29 0.210434 0.408301 0.779229 1.534456 3.059859 6.055342 12.515953
2026-04-05 0.199931 0.397587 0.777551 1.571633 3.220060 6.548811 13.942978
2026-04-12 0.186764 0.380165 0.760920 1.576633 3.314662 6.918955 15.153534
2026-04-19 0.172147 0.358266 0.733087 1.555282 3.351200 7.171348 16.137052
2026-04-26 0.157586 0.334989 0.700095 1.519318 3.351927 7.346406 16.967106
2026-05-03 0.144595 0.313737 0.669221 1.484532 3.351038 7.516885 17.805974
2026-05-10 0.136983 0.303367 0.660473 1.497681 3.459243 7.942533 19.299289
2026-05-17 0.128367 0.289919 0.643699 1.490774 3.520147 8.265697 20.583359